Sunday, December 7, 2008

Reed: Living a Celebrity Life Means Taking the Bad with the Good



Welcome back, folks. Although our last topic was deemed "boring" by our first poster, it has generated more feedback and more new posters than anything we have debated so far on Butt and ReButt. Thanks to all who have participated, and please spread the word.

This week, we are discussing whether or not media access to celebrities and public figures should be regulated by the government. Based on the flip of the coin, I will argue that those well-entrenched in the public eye do not warrant special protection from intrusion by the media.

On its face, the debate would seem to revolve around the Constitution's guarantee of freedom of the press versus and individual right to privacy. But the argument can be made that, while freedom of the press is specifically guaranteed in Amendment I of the Constitution, the "right to privacy" is a conceptual right granted through interpretation and application, not through specific mention in the Constitution.

Indeed, the privacy rights most Americans assume are "protected" exist only because courts have ruled that such rights fall under the protections assumed in Amendment IX, which reads, in part, "the enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage other (rights) retained by the people (see: www.answers.com/topic/amendment-ix-to-the-u-s-constitution).

Both the first and ninth amendments to the Constitution were ratified in December, 1791. But not until after World War II were arguments heard before the U.S. Supreme Court that were based on protections provided through Amendment IX. The most famous of these, and the most controversial, remains Roe v. Wade, the landmark 1973 abortion rights case. The finding rests almost entirely on the Court's perception that the privacy of the woman seeking an abortion was protected as one of the "other (rights) retained by the people" mentioned in Amendment IX.

But in 1986, the Court backed away from such a broad-brush approach to privacy rights in the case of Bowers v. Hardwick. In this case, a Georgia law outlawing "sodomy" between same-sex couples was ruled constitutional, in spite of the respondent's citing of Ninth Amendment precedents (see: www.law.umkc.edu/faculty/projects/ftrials/conlaw/bowers). Then, in 2003, the Court again reversed itself in Lawrence v. Texas, overturning a law similar to the Georgia statute on the basis that government could not establish laws affecting the behavior of consenting adults in private settings (see: www.law.cornell.edu/html/02-102).

So it is clear that, even today, the constitutional waters regarding privacy rights remain murky. So we must often rely on a concept that is in woefully short supply today - common sense.

Common sense would dictate that we should be afforded privacy to do any legal thing we desire, unless of course we have sought out and achieved the attention of the public through our conscious actions. Such is the case with celebrities, politicians and others in the public realm. They have actively sought, and subsequently profited from, fame. So I would submit that, fame inevitably coming as the result of exposure to the public realm through media contact, any desire by a notable figure to protect his or her "privacy" can only be exercised in those cases where laws have been violated.

For instance, I don't think anyone would argue that Britney Spears would be within her rights to file charges against a photographer hiding in her closet. Such an interloper should be arrested and prosecuted under existing statutes pertaining to trespassing, breaking and entering and stalking. But Ms. Spears certainly has no cause to complain about the reporters and photographers gathered at the door of the rehab center, because it was these same journalists, and I use that term loosely, that made her the icon she is today, thus providing the wealth and fame she obviously desired.

The term "paparazzi" was unknown to most of us prior to the tragic death of Princess Diana. The term was coined from a character in a play produced by Federico Fellini, "La Dolce Vita". It is said that Fellini named the character "Paparazzo" based on a term from an Italian dialect that describes the annoying buzz of a mosquito. Quite apt, I would say.

The case of Princess Di and her boyfriend Dodi Fayed raised many questions about the excesses of the media. And while no one was ever prosecuted for her death, courts in Great Britain and France ruled that their was enough culpability to go around, and laws were broken. And this is the important issue - if a reporter or photographer is breaking the law, prosecute them. If they are not, then the protections afforded them by our Constitution must be respected.

It is easy, I suppose, for someone who idolizes a singer or actor to sympathize when their hero is fighting his or her way through jostling crowds with flashbulbs popping and Barbara Walters-wannabes hurling personal questions. But I find it hard to cry crocodile tears for people who hire agents to publicize their every move, who never miss an opportunity to find a photographer when they are at their best, and then complain when they pop up, uncombed and disheveled, on the cover of the tabloids or the lead story on "Entertainment Tonight."

"I have a life, and you should respect my privacy," is the constant refrain. Ah, but time goes by, and as talent wanes and the aura can only be preserved through massive amounts of plastic surgery, that aging star will long for the bygone days and complain about being "forgotten." Alas, such is the price of fame.

And it's not just the Hollywood types. I'm sure Senator Larry Craig figured he was safe from scrutiny, even though his dubious foot-tapping occured in a public restroom. I suggest that, if Craig had opted to avoid the limelight that comes from membership in one of the most august bodies in the world, his arrest would not have even made headlines in his hometown paper.

For those of us who find the attention paid to these celebrities disgusting, we have only ourselves to blame. Our thirst for dirt, our love of gossip and our incredibly short attention spans have created this monster, and some have thrived as a result. There is a cure, of course, but it is not government intervention. Rather, it involves the simple task of turning off the television, not buying the magazine, and seeking a more intelligent outlet in our quest for knowledge.

Alas, I am dubious that such will ever be the case. I told a friend during the recent presidential campaign that, if one of the candidates had been assassinated, the press would have broken away from the story to cover Britney's latest exploits.

So it seems our media is a mirror of our society, and the reflection is certainly not pretty. But our press is at least free, and guaranteed to remain so. That must never change.

Dano: The Media is Regulated Already, and They Should Be

Back again, everyone...and, for a change, we're not doing a political subject this week (okay, maybe that's debatable). We all have strong opinions about paparazzi after being privy to their work with Princess Diana, Britney Spears, Paris Hilton, and even families of crime victims or accused perpetrators. It's an interesting subject, for sure. The coin toss this week has me arguing in favor of regulating the media's rights when covering celebrities and public figures. Because this subject requires some legal research, most everything I allude to here can be found at http://law.findlaw.com/state-laws/state-codes.html, or http://www.findlaw.com/casecode/.



A lot of discussions about this topic center around celebrities and their tendency to seek publicity until they get too much of it. Most of us don't feel too sorry for them, because they sort of "made their own beds and should have to sleep in them." Sometimes, this argument is hard to counter, because so many young Hollywood types, in particular, really do bring it on themselves (Paris Hilton comes to mind, who is famous just for being famous by her own tactics of seeking publicity). But many celebrities don't appreciate paparazzi intrusions, whether in public areas or otherwise. Celebrity status earned because you are a fine actor or popular politician, for instance, does not automatically invite intrusions of privacy by the media. Moreover, paparrazi, in particular, have become more and more bold over the years and have sometimes caused mayhem and physical and mental danger to their subjects. But doesn't the press have a right, under Article 1 of the Constitution, to report on newsworthy people in this way? Not always.

There are competing legal issues at stake: the Constitutional rights of free speech (and freedom of the press) vs. an individual's privacy rights. Rights to privacy are not specifically delineated in the U.S. Constitution, but the courts have repeatedly "found" those rights in various passages, and certain kinds of privacy are now considered defacto rights. But laws and regulations are not guided only by the U.S. Constitution; they are also informed by state Constitutions, state statutes, legal scholarship, and court precedents. Some of these will be discussed shortly.

Let's get a common misunderstanding out of the way. The notion that the freedom of press and freedom of speech rights are inalienable, or not subject to regulation or limitation, is incorrect. We all know, for instance, that courts routinely bar the press from legal proceedings or impose gag orders, because, even though potentially newsworthy, the right of a defendant to a fair trial could be compromised by the exercise of these rights. Constitutional rights are always relative -- they are granted as equitable rights, meaning that you have them if they don't impinge on the rights of others. Similarly, you can't legally holler "fire!" in a crowded movie theater when there is no fire, and you can't say the word, "bomb" in an airport in the absence of a bomb. Most people would not argue that these limitations are inappropriate. So, then, is it equally appropriate to regulate the media's rights as they relate to covering celebrities and other public figures? Certainly.

The courts have routinely recognized personal privacy rights for all citizens, whether they are public figures or not. However, they have also understood the unique nature of entertainment celebrities, and their tendency to seek publicity. Because of this difference between the famous and the non-famous, remedies at law are much harder to come by for celebrities; the fact that they often seek celebrity status and media coverage makes it harder for them to claim unwarranted intrusion, and the media has a greater case that the coverage is "newsworthy." Those that don't seek the attention in public, or are hounded to such a degree that they feel threatened, however, have some legal protection, thanks in part to Jaqueline Kennedy Onassis.

Without going into a lot of specifics, Onassis and her children were relentlessly followed, photographed and otherwise hounded by a man named Ron Galella, who believed that the minutia in the lifestyle of the Onassis family was newsworthy. In Galella v. Onassis, 487 F.2d 986 (2d cir., 1973), the court determined that Onassis and her family had a right to privacy that was being infringed upon by the activities of Mr. Galella. Specifically, he was enjoined from "approaching her within a distance of 25 feet or her children within a distance of 30 feet." In their ruling, the court recognized that the right to privacy includes:


"a general right to be left alone, and to define one's circle of intimacy; to sheild intimate and personal characteristics and activities from public gaze; to have moments of freedom from the unremitted assault of the world and unfettered will of others in order to achieve some measure of tranquility for contemplation or other purposes, without which life loses its sweetness."
Moreover, every state has statutes that govern the right to privacy. In most instances, the privacy rights fall into four categories that were taken from the Second Restatement of Torts, a scholarly legal treatise relied upon by the courts. Invasions of privacy are: 1) intrusion into solitude, 2) public disclosure of private facts, 3) depiction in a false light, and 4) commercial exploitation of a person's name or likeness, also called appropriation.

Upset celebrities rarely litigate based upon either Galella or privacy statutes, most likely because the paparazzi activity generally occurs in public places (where the expectation of privacy is not assumed), or the photos or other coverage of their private property activities is done from a distance (with telephoto lenses or helicopters, for instance). This latter method of gaining access to the private goings-on of famous people has yet to be examined by the courts. Entering the private property of an individual is a clear violation of both privacy statutes and trespass laws, but gaining images from public areas through the use of long lenses does not fall neatly under the statutory prohibitions. More often than not, celebrities who sue over these kinds of intrusion do so under copyright infringement laws (similar to the fourth invasion of privacy tort listed above) -- the unlicensed use of their copyright-protected images for financial gain.

It is also probable that celebrities who don't seek media exposure understand that the paparazzi are supplying the demand of the public for "the skinny" on them. Thus, even if they feel intruded upon, complaining about or litigating these intrusions may cause damage to their reputations of being responsive and appreciative of the public's adoration. Probably a powerful inhibition for most of them.

On a final note with regard to celebs, many have suggested that stalking laws be changed to cover the activities of papparazi -- particularly after both the Princess Diana episode and, more recently, the relentless and damaging hounding of Britney Spears. Stalking laws, however, are criminal statutes (privacy laws are civil) designed to prevent offenders from threatening harm or causing fear of harm in their victims. Paparazzi routinely and successfully deny these intentions. California legislators have recently tried to change the California Code to expand these laws such that the intent of the "stalker" to cause fear is not required to be proven, so long as the "victim" experienced fear. Although public support has been rising, it does not appear that they have passed any such changes to the stalking statutes, yet.

Who among us has not winced at the poor judgment of media who camp out on the lawns of folks who are the survivors of murder victims, or missing children, or other people who had no intention of being public figures, but got thrust into the position? What about regulating the media's access to these poor souls? Well, again, there are existing trespass laws, and I suspect that if they knew about it, many could avail themselves of the protections afforded by Galella, at least when they are in public places. These people are newsworthy, even if they don't want to be, but the media really ought to have more compassion than to rest their laurels on First Amendment rights to hound this brand of public figure. That's just common decency, and viewers and readers ought to complain about these media excesses (market forces can be powerful controls, no?).

So, then, the media are and should be regulated in their coverage of celebrities and public figures, the same as they are and should be in their coverage of ordinary citizens. It's nothing more than a balancing of rights. When they violate privacy rights by trespassing, legal protection is available to the victims. To the extent that the media relentlessly follow celebrities in public places and report on their activities, the Galella precedent is available to those public figures who feel their privacy rights are being violated in the way the Onassis family's were. Otherwise, they should just put up with market forces or stay home.

Friday, November 21, 2008

Dano: Public Campaign Financing? It Doesn't Matter

(Note: Reed's post gives a succinct history of campaign finance in the U.S., so I'll not repeat it. I will also avoid repeating his citations for brevity, though I relied on some of them also.) 

Well, for a change, I got a coin-flip this week that threw me for a loop. I am supposed to argue that we should maintain the public campaign finance system for federal elections (and, perhaps, mandate its use). But, by golly, after my research, I decided that it doesn't make a lick of difference where the candidates get their "individual contributions." I guess that sounds confusing.

The term, "public financing," is a bit of a misnomer. The fact is that money provided by the government comes from individual taxpayers (private citizens) who decided to contribute $3.00 of their personal tax obligation to the campaign finance fund for presidential elections. Yes, this is a small amount from each donor, but it adds up (though, as of 2006, fewer than 10% of taxpayers contributed annually--more on this issue, later). Moreover, there is an element of private donations within the public finance system, because it only provides "matching funds" of up to $250 per private donation. "Private financing" simply means that individuals donate directly to candidates instead of doing so through their tax returns. The difference is that individuals can (and do) contribute considerably more, though also limited by law, through this direct-donation mechanism. Also by law, corporations are prohibited from donating directly to candidates under both systems.

Fundamentally, proponents of public campaign financing say that this system reduces the possibility of corruption (because the source of candidate funding is known in advance, and is above-board), and helps to minimize the relative advantage of having deeper coffers than other candidates, such that "buying an election" becomes less likely. Under this system, candidates are not permitted to use more than $50,000 of their own money for their campaigns (unlike the substantial personal financial input provided by previous candidates, Steve Forbes, Ross Perot, Mitt Romney, and Hillary Clinton, to name a few). Of concern to candidates of parties other than Democratic or Republican, public financing is not available to them.

Those who support private campaign financing suggest that it, alone, protects the constitutional right of (unlimited) free speech, and that this system is regulated sufficiently to guard against corruption. The system is said to be superior because each donor has the right to direct their support to a specific candidate (where no such ability exists with public finance funds), further protecting the rights of donors to not support a candidate they don't like. Moreover, there are no limits on how much can be amassed in the aggregate, so if a candidate enjoys support from a much larger proportion of the public than his/her opponents, then his advantage in advertising funds is proportionate and fair. Finally, any party's candidates can get this form of funding -- not just Democrats and Republicans.

So, why doesn't it matter which system we use?

Of minor relevance, there are some equalizing factors between the two systems. First, the advantages of private financing are mitigated by available funds through public financing: 1) public financing subsidizes the nomination conventions of those candidates that accept it (not an insubstantial cost), and 2) public financing pays for the costs of attorneys and other administrative costs (also nothing to sneeze at). But that's not the main issue.

A less obvious issue is that, while we all know that public financing, at least in the 2008 campaign, garnered Senator McCain only about half the money that was collected by President-elect Obama, this is a consequence of both systems being utilized. Remember, above I noted that income tax contributions to public financing were made by fewer than 10% of taxpayers in recent years. (http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2007-04-17-preztax_N.htm?csp=34)

 If, however, candidates were required to use public financing (or, more accurately, prohibited from using private financing), the percentage of citizens choosing to donate with their tax returns would likely rise precipitously.  So, while the free choice to accept private financing exists along with the public financing system, a candidate can choose either method and take his chances, but private financing seems to hold the advantage so long as it remains available. This, by itself, is no reason to mandate one or the other.

The overarching reason the system chosen doesn't matter is that they each deal with "hard money" contributions only. Both systems allow expenditures of "soft money" contributions through the activities of political action committees (PACs), and by organizations known as "527s" and "501(c)s." Taken together, these organizations spend unlimited donation monies to support issues (directly), and candidates (indirectly ). The only "free speech" limitation on these groups is that they cannot suggest voting for or against a particular candidate. They can (and do), however, say things like, "candidate A is the only patriotic contender," and "candidate B is clearly unpatriotic." The power of these groups to affect elections was well illustrated by the soft-money-funded "swift boat" campaign against Senator John Kerry in the 2004 presidential race -- many believe this advertising strategy cost Kerry the election. The Supreme Court has upheld the right of these groups to advertise in this way, and no legislation short of a Constitutional amendment can change this fact (see Buckley v. Valeo, 424 U.S. 1 [1976]). So, essentially, as long as PACs, 527s, and 501(c)s can operate with impunity, their impact on election outcomes is far more relevant than the direct ads by the candidates, regardless of the sources of their funding.

Some might argue that direct candidate ads have a great deal of impact on voters' choices. That may be true, but I submit that the number of ads, and the geographic spread of them, is not as important to campaigns as it once was because of the advent of 24 hour news networks that endlessly replay the campaign ads of the candidates during the entire course of the election cycle. Even though John McCain spent far less than Barack Obama, for instance, I saw every important political ad that McCain produced as many times as I saw Obama's ads (okay...maybe not quite as many times, but effectively so). The news pundits see these ads as free content, and this essentially gives every candidate free air time. Unfortunately, the news outlets also give free replay time to the ads from the PACs, 527s and 501(c)s. So, again, the power of soft money organizations remains superior. Until this changes (through FCC regulations on media or a Constitutional amendment limiting soft money free speech), there is simply no important difference between the public and private campaign finance systems.

Campaign finance is a very complicated issue, to be sure. But concerning ourselves with an either/or argument over public or private donations is, quite simply, a misdirected effort. Both systems are regulated to prevent corruption, with debatable success, perhaps. But campaign finance reform needs to concern itself primarily with soft money controls if we expect to level the playing field for all candidates and prevent corruption and influence peddling in presidential campaigns.

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Reed: Presidential Candidates Don't Need Our Tax Money to Run a Campaign

Hello, folks, and welcome back to Butt and Rebutt. As you've noted, we have been somewhat out of the loop, but this week we're back with a vengeance, and our topic is, "Should public financing continue to be available to candidates for president?". Based on our coin toss, I will argue that public financing for national campaigns has outlived its usefulness if, indeed, it ever had any.

Our recent election brought this issue to the forefront in a surprising way. The Republican candidate, Senator McCain, opted to accept public funds, while the historically cash-strapped Democrats prodded Senator Obama to forego public funding. The Democratic strategy, fueled by Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean, proved to be an overwhelming obstacle to Sen. McCain's ability to compete for expensive media time, and many pundits are convinced that, once again, this election was won and lost on the ledgers, not at the ballot box.

Sen. McCain, however, had little choice but to opt for public money. He was, after all, the co-author of the famous (or infamous, depending on your point of view) McCain-Feingold Act, more properly known as the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002. President Bush signed the act into law on March 27, 2002, making it the first meaningful revision to laws pertaining to public financing of elections since the first such measures began being administered by the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) in 1976 (see www.fec.gov/pages/bcra).

It is important to note that 1976 was not the year that this issue came to the forefront. In 1966, Congress passed legislation that would have provided public money to Presidential candidates by funneling funds through the political parties. According to the FEC, the law was suspended a year later, for obvious reasons (www.fec.gov/pages/brochures/pubfund). In fact, not even in 1966 were Americans first prodded to look at such a system. Fifty-nine years earlier, according to the FEC, Theodore Roosevelt proposed that public financing of national elections was the only means through which a fair result could be obtained.

Roosevelt's argument in 1907 was the same as that which resonates today - money, and I mean big money, perverts the political realm and insures that only the wealthy and well-heeled can attain high office. To the founding fathers, service was expected and personal gain was set aside. But by Roosevelt's time, special interests had already begun to pervert the process and political chicanery had become commonplace. Thus the argument was, and remains today, that public financing is the only way to assist a candidate with modest means to aspire to greatness in the political arena.

I don't buy it, no pun intended. I agree, as I assume the vast majority of our readers and Americans in general do, that money has indeed become a corrupting influence in the political realm. And the fact that Barack Obama raised more than half a billion dollars to compete for a job that pays $400,000.00 a year raises the simple question, "Why?"Our system has been co-opted by special interests, to be sure, and the money is the driving force. But it's relevant to note that, according to the New York Times and Fox News (organizations that don't often find themselves in agreement, editorially speaking), the average donation to the Obama campaign was less than $90.00.

The most money raised in any political campaign in history, and the average donor gave ninety bucks. Do the math. It's clear that, in spite of our cynicism and anger over how lobbyists, corporations, unions and radicals on the right and left have dominated the money grubbing and media hype, the common man and woman still care enough to fork over a few bucks to support a cause.That's democracy in action, the little person stepping up to help the candidate who best represents his or her values, beliefs and interests on the national level. But that citizen, passionate for a candidate or a cause, has no control over how the federal government doles out his or her tax dollars to presidential aspirants. In other words, your taxes may be going into the campaign coffers of a candidate you find totally repugnant.

I know I don't like that. I assume you don't either. But I also don't like the system the way it is, or was, where money drives politicians to say anything it takes to get elected, to crawl in bed with whatever special interest has the most umph, and then to claim high moral standards as a reason to earn my vote. So the idea of using tax-payer dollars to fund campaigns was based on noble ideals. But as so often happens in the political realm, the best intentions often produce the worst results.

This is a complicated issue on several fronts. Dating back to the 1970's, challenges to restrictions on fund raising and expenditures in political campaigns have hinged on the First Amendment's guarantee of free speech. In 1976, the U.S. Supreme Court issued a ruling in the case of Buckley v. Valeo which upheld the notion of restrictions on certain campaign fund raising as "primary weapons against the reality or appearance stemming from the dependence of candidates on large campaign contributions." However, in the very same ruling, the court recognized the validity of free-speech arguments, stating, "virtually every means of communicating ideas in today's mass society requires the expenditure of money." Restrictions on this form of free speech, the court said, could only be justified in the case of an overriding governmental interest (see http://www.campaignfinancesite.org/court/buckley.html.)

In this seemingly contradictory ruling, the court did not spell out what constitutes "overriding governmental interest," but the concern was balancing a group or individual's right to participate in the electoral process with the need to prevent graft and corruption within that process. I submit that this balance, and indeed all the concerns expressed in Buckley and cases brought subsequent to this ruling, can be addressed by common sense regulation of private sector contributions to candidates and parties.

I would accomplish this by instituting two major reforms to the current system which I believe would render public financing unnecessary. First, Congress should enact legislation that prevents a candidate for federal office from soliciting or accepting contributions for his or her campaign for a period of time equal to half the term of the office sought. In other words, a candidate for the office of president, which carries a four-year term, could not officially form a campaign committee or raise and spend outside contributions until two years prior to the general election. This is important because, while we prepare to inaugurate the man we elected this month to serve for the next four years, National Public Radio has reported that former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is in Iowa, planning his strategy for a 2012 run for the presidency (All Things Considered, November 22.)

Nothing in the legislation would impede a potential future candidate such as Governor Huckabee from traveling around making speeches. It would, however, prevent political parties, corporations or wealthy individuals from contributing to a campaign fund in the candidate's name.

The second and equally important aspect of this reform would identify, once and for all, who may or may not contribute to national candidates and how much that candidate can lawfully raise. An individual's campaign would be allowed to raise no more than ten times the amount of the salary paid by the office aspired to during the course of one term. In other words, a candidate aspiring to attain the presidency, and its $400,000.00 annual salary, could raise and spend no more than $16 million. That money could be raised through donations from individuals not to exceed $2000.00, or corporations, unions, or parties not to exceed $50,000.00.

While these sums may seem paltry compared to the massive amounts of money currently spent on national campaigns, a shortened political season would mean less money would be necessary. Such a system as proposed would also serve to level the playing field for third-party candidates, or those with less name recognition.

There is one argument that public-finance proponents offer that would not be addressed under a system such as I propose. That is the notion that unheralded candidates with modest financial means and no name recognition could not compete. I would submit this argument is flawed for two reasons. One, it is false on its face. Raise your hand if you had ever heard of Ron Paul before the Republican debates first aired. Very few hands in the air. But the Texas Congressman set a single day financing record, raking in more that a million dollars over the Internet after his first debate performance.

Secondly, a young state senator from Illinois, from a very modest background and without a war chest, went from virtual unknown to President-elect in four years due to nothing more than his eloquence and perseverance. Proof positive that gifts of style and substance can overcome, at least in the short term, a lack of money or power.

In closing, I believe we can all agree that our political system, with its reliance on massive amounts of money and influence, is broken. The answer lies not in turning the system over to the government, or by completely deregulating the system. As is often the case when things are complicated beyond the capability of most citizens to understand, we should strive to simplify this system while relying on citizen participation, not taxpayer funding, to select our leaders.

Friday, November 14, 2008

Our Apologies...

We're sorry. We know we have been a tad lax lately at blogging. The truth is that our readership appeared to drop off pretty drastically after Dano's injury and the subsequent posting hiatus; maybe it was just a drop in participation. We are trying to get back into a regular schedule, now.

On that note, however, there is something we want to address: For this blog to be successful, we need for visitors to actually comment on our posts, not just read them. Why, you ask?  Because blog traffic for the purposes of 1) getting listed and spread by blog catalog services, 2) being noticed by news organizations who scan blog activity to locate bloggers of interest to highlight, and 3) appearing more relevant to education providers (whom we would like to appeal to so they will incorporate our blog in argument and persuasion curricula) is determined by the volume of comments by visitors, not just the number of site visitors.

We have been told by a number of non-commenting visitors that they enjoy reading our posts, but don't want to participate because they "feel unqualified" to comment. "I'm too stupid." "You guys are so serious." "I don't have the time or energy to research my own opinion." Etcetera.

For those of you that feel these ways, let us say this: We don't ask that everyone who comments first researches the issues presented. That's what we do. Those who do comment are only asked to give citations for any "factual" assertion made that is (or may be) debatable. This request is made for two reasons. First, we are trying to preclude the possibility that our blog project turns into a parade of opinion rants like so many blogs are. Second, research helps nearly everyone learn more about the issues than they knew already, which adds to the overall quality and value of the dialog between participants.

That said, there is nothing wrong with simply saying, "this is just my opinion, but...," or with simply writing "I enjoyed the post. It makes me think more about the subject."  We also welcome any valid criticisms of our site design, our posts, our skills, our logic, or our content. One of the great thrills of debate is the opportunity to defend or even modify one's opinion or point of view.

Those of you who have commented regularly are very much appreciated. We also appreciate those of you that visit regularly, but don't leave comments. It's just that we really wish you would. We'd love to be able to consider our efforts worthwhile in the final analysis.

One more thing...we are now going to accept guest post submissions from those of you that have a substantive and contentious point of view on a socially important issue, and wish to have your position discussed. Any submissions of this kind should be emailed to danojohns@aol.com for publishing consideration. In the event that one is selected for a weekly debate topic, either Dano or Reed will take a different point of view to foster the debate.

Finally, we owe another apology to those of you who have been expecting our posts on the previously advertised topic of government subsidized healthcare. It turns out that it was too consuming a topic for our modest time availability. So, despite that we think it is a great topic, we will not be tackling the subsidized healthcare issue at this time. This week's topic, instead, will regard U.S. campaign finance issues--the source of heated disagreement  between John McCain and Barack Obama during this year's presidential campaign. Our posts should be up in two or three days.

Thursday, October 9, 2008

The Electoral College Primer: How it Works

In my many ill-advised political conversations with people sitting around while sharing beers and such, it occurs to me that most Americans don't really understand how our highest leaders are actually elected. While most recognize the term, "Electoral College," perhaps only a small percentage know what it is or how it works (and even fewer know why the system was created). If you have a good understanding of the electoral system, feel free to skip this post; this post is designed to help folks (who either aren't aware, or who have forgotten how the process works) brush up on their knowledge of how we actually pick our president and vice president. Butt and ReButt debates are the wrong place to engage in complex educational essays, but a little bit of explanation of the system seems in order. Toward that end, I will explain how we vote for our leaders, but for a history of the Electoral College system and it's pros and cons, you'll need to read Dano's and Reed's debate.

For those of you who are legal and/or political scholars, simplicity and clarity dictate that the explanation that follows may be oversimplified and even slightly incorrect (though, not substantively). Please don't make unimportant correction comments to this post.

After reading this entry, it is hoped that some participants can then better enjoy and understand our debate posts for this week, "should we scrap the Electoral College system in favor of one that relies strictly on the popular vote?"

How We Vote for President and Vice President

When we vote for the president and vice president of the U.S., we are not actually voting for the candidates; we are voting for the group of people appointed within our respective states to represent us in the national election. These people, selected by varied methods from state to state, are collectively known as "electors," and, taken together, are known as the "Electoral College" (though this term is not found in the Constitution). Each state has as many electors as they have representatives and senators in the U.S. Congress. All told, there are 538 members of the Electoral College (equal to the 535 members of Congress plus three for the District of Columbia).

In many states, the electors are required by state law to vote according to the outcome of the popular vote within the state. In other words, if the majority of the popular vote favors the Republican candidate, the electors would be required to cast all of the state's electoral votes for the Republican candidate. In some other states, this loyalty to the public is not required, but history shows that there have been very few instances of "faithless electors," as those who vote contrary to the loyalty promise are known. Two states, Nebraska and Maine, stand alone in their choice to select electors largely by Congressional districts, such that the respective Democratic and Republican candidates can both gain a portion of the electoral votes in these two states.

So, the long and short of it is that on election day, each state tallies up the popular votes within the state and, ideally, the state's electors agree to cast the state's votes according to the public majority. Within Florida, for example, if the Democratic candidate gets 51% of the popular vote of Floridians, the state's electors would certify that Florida voted for the Democratic candidate. Each state, in turn, sends their state's electoral vote tallies to the U.S. Congress, which officially counts them in December of each election year, and certifies the winners. Winners must have gotten a simple majority of the total collective electoral votes -- 270 electoral votes out of the total of 538. In the unlikely case of an electoral vote tie, complex provisions require that Congress make the final decision.

Hope that helps. On to the debate posts, now!

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Reed: Electoral College has Outlived its Usefulness

Hi, folks, and welcome back. Let me begin by asking you to please spread the word that Butt and ReButt is back, and we want to be a strong force for reasonable, intelligent discussion and debate. So if your friends are not reasonable and intelligent, well......
At any rate, our topic this week regards the Electoral College. I won't do a John McCain here and say, "I bet you've never heard of that" because I know you have. And Dano has given us a very good primer on the history of the college, so I will argue, based on our coin toss, why the Electoral College is not only no longer necessary, but actually detrimental to our democratic process, and should be replaced by a national popular vote.

My grandmother, God rest her soul, loved Richard Nixon because she believed he had "an honest face." I'm confident not many who remember that heavy brow and five-o'clock shadow would agree. But beauty, talent and ability are indeed in the eyes of the beholder - in the case of presidential candidates, the voter. But voters in America, since Article II, Section One of the Constitution was adopted, have been casting their ballots not for president, but for electors.

That system was developed based on a variety of problems faced by the Founding Fathers (note: there were no founding mothers.) According to William Kimberling, a Deputy Director of the Federal Election Commission Office of Election Administration, the founders were dealing with a nation that:
  • was composed of thirteen large and small states jealous of their own rights and powers and suspicious of any central national government,

  • contained only 4 million people spread up and down a thousand miles of Atlantic seaboard barely connected by transportation or communication (so that national campaigns were impractical even if they had been thought desirable),

  • believed, based on the influence of such British political thinkers as Henry St. John Bolingbroke, that political parties were mischievous if not downright evil, and

  • felt that "gentlemen" should not campaign for public office (The saying was, "The office should seek the man, the man should not seek the office.") (Please note the web site of Federal Election Commission).

In the late 18th century, these might have been valid arguments for creating such a system as the Electoral College. But those arguments carry no validity today and for that reason, the system as it stands should be abolished.

This is not to say that individual states no longer jealously guard their rights. Citizens of each state own the right to elect their local and state leaders, and choose who they send to represent them on the national level in Congress. But, were it not applicable prior to 1865, certainly the outcome of the Civil War demonstrated that the union of the American states, and the federal government elected to represent that union, was and is the engine that drives our standing in a world that grows smaller every day.

We are now connected, by transportation and communication, not only between village and city, but state to state and nation to nation. Our population is no longer waiting in anticipation for the elite, more educated leaders of the community to report back from the halls of government as to what is best for our nation. Citizens, on an individual basis, are now expected to not only know what is happening within those halls, but to control them through the exercise of selecting our representatives in all branches of government.

Not only that, but federal law now trumps state law in almost every conceivable situation in which the two might clash. Therefore, each American deserves an equal say in who represents him or her on a national level. And the design of the Electoral College prevents this equality.

Consider the following: Activists and campaign volunteers, both Republican and Democrat, have stressed to potential voters that, no matter what your status in life, your vote counts just as much as that of anyone else. Were it only true. But based on the 2000 Census, and the Electoral College's allocation based on population, an individual voter in Wyoming carries approximately four times as much weight as a voter in California. This makes one wonder what is really the value in the concept of "one person, one vote."

The answer is, where presidential elections are concerned, the concept is false. Our current election race offers a prime example. Michigan, considered a "swing state" due to its high population, has been "written off" by the McCain campaign because, based on the opinion of McCain's handlers and the media pundits, Michigan is "unwinnable." So Senator McCain has pulled all of his campaign staff from Michigan to concentrate on other "swing states" such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida.

In other words, the voters of Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida will decide the presidential election for the entire country, and the voters of Michigan have now been informed that, for all intents and purposes, their votes don't matter and they can stay home. More importantly, the pundits will be calling the election before the polls even close in our nation's most populous state, thus rendering California's citizens' votes meaningless, since the Republicans will have conceded that state based on its electors' Democratic tendencies.

There have been many anomalies in Presidential elections throughout our history, most of which would have been avoided through a true popular vote. In 1836, one party, the Whigs, ran three different candidates in three separate sections of the country. The purpose was to ensure a Whig majority in the Electoral College by appealing to the particular desires of each demographic. The plan was foiled when the electors chose Democratic-Republican candidate Martin Van Buren by absolute majority - but the electors themselves found Van Buren's Vice-Presidential candidate so objectionable that they failed to vote for him. Thus it was left to the Senate to make the determination, and it chose Richard Johnson, the running mate, as Vice President.

The means through which our electors vote today do not necessarily preclude such a bizarre scenario from reoccurring. It is possible that an Electoral College could select Barack Obama, but refuse to recognize Joe Biden, thus turning the election of a Vice-President to the Senate. Such a scenario would certainly render the President impotent, because in our party system (which the founders were trying to avoid), the candidate's first and most telling decision is that of a running mate.

There are a number of reasons to believe that this system should be scrapped, but the most important is its inability to accurately reflect the will of the American people. This argument was made by Republicans in 1992 when the party noted that Bill Clinton did not win a majority of the popular vote, but was a clear winner in the Electoral College. And it is true he did not win the majority of votes - but he won more popular votes than either George H.W. Bush or Ross Perot, thus claiming a clear victory under the most "democratic" of principles.

The 2000 election also produced a winner who did not garnish the majority of the popular vote. The contrast, and the most telling reason why the current system should be abolished, is that the declared winner, George W. Bush, did not even win the most votes. Democrat Al Gore, according to the FEC, won over 500,000 more popular votes than did our current President (see FEC/GOV/2000). It will be left for history to decide how this travesty has affected our nation and our world.

In conclusion, I would submit that, in spite of our Constitution's creation of a republican form of government, an amendment allowing a democratically-elected President is now imperative. The President of the United States is, at least for now, the most powerful person on earth. If we desire to maintain our status as a leader in world that has evolved in startling fashion since our founding, we must allow our peoples' voice to be heard over that of outdated, unworkable tradition. One voice must carry the same weight as any other, and one vote must count as much in Kentucky as it does in Florida. Our people must elect our President.

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Dano: Keep the Electoral College System...It's What the Founders Wanted

Okay, folks. Following a lengthy time during which I didn't feel I could do justice to the debates because of my head injuries, I'm getting back into it. While things are still difficult, I think I can function well enough, now, to give this a shot.

This week, the coin-flip says I argue for maintaining the Electoral College system for presidential and vice-presidential elections.


The "Problem" with the Electoral College

So, what is the big stink? Why are we asking this week's question?

While Reed will likely bring up other issues, the most prevalent complaint is simple. Under the Electoral College system, it is entirely possible for the majority of voters to vote for one party's candidates, and the other party's candidates to win the election. How? Easy.

Let's say that the eleven states with the highest number of electoral votes all vote for the Democratic candidates. These states and their numbers of electoral votes are: California (55), Texas (34), New York (31), Florida (27) Illinois (21), Pennsylvania (21), Ohio (20), Michigan (17), Georgia (15), New Jersey (15), and North Carolina (15). Their combined electoral votes equal 271, a sufficient number to win the presidency/vice presidency. But, remember, even in these states, the votes might have been very close; each state may have chosen the winners based upon a bare majority of the popular vote. If every other state in the country, either by a simple majority or an overwhelming majority, voted for the Republican ticket, the total collective nationwide popular vote would be overwhelmingly for the Republican ticket, but the electoral votes of the largest eleven states would have put the Democrats into office. We recently had a mismatch between the popular vote and the electoral vote, and thus, a controversial outcome. This was only the third time in our country's history that such a mismatch occurred, but it was so distressing to a great many voters that it may have been the most important wonky election result ever.

Many will recall the 2000 election, wherein George W. Bush won 271 electoral votes to Gore's 266, but Al Gore won the popular vote by more than 543,000 votes nationwide. Bush did not win via an electoral majority based upon the aforementioned largest eleven states, but won via a simple majority of the electoral vote from all states. The noted official count of the popular votes is independent of the Florida recount question (where many believe that Gore won more of the Florida vote than was actually counted). In other words, even after the official recounts were completed, Gore still had the advantage in popular votes. Many Americans who believe that the popular vote should have mattered in the election outcome have since been vocal opponents of the Electoral College system, whether they opposed it before the election or not. The crux of the issue for these folks, I believe, is the relative importance of the will of the people in choosing our highest elected officials. To be fair, neither candidate in 2000 won a majority of the popular vote (Gore, 48.38%, Bush, 47.87%), but Gore did have more of the popular vote. How could it be okay for more voters to select one party's ticket, and the electoral system to select the other? While I appreciate fairness as much as the next voter, my answer may anger some readers.

The Electoral College is The Best Solution

My primary argument in favor of the Electoral College centers around two things: 1) my own belief that average people don't necessarily make good voters, and 2) the Founding Fathers set up the Electoral College, and they were really, really smart people.

My own beliefs, first. I don't know exactly how or when I developed my views on this issue, but I feel them pretty strongly. I have long been annoyed by campaigns to "get out the vote" because my sense is that people who are politically engaged - those who care about things political - are already registered voters. For instance, if you care enough about what happens in the halls of Congress to exercise your singular voting power to affect legislation, would you not already be an active voter? To be sure, everyone's concerns about political things are proportionate to the amount of political activity that affects their interests. If you are an investor in the stock market, you are more likely to be concerned about legislative actions that affect the value of your investments on Wall Street than would be a non-investor. If you are a property owner, you are more likely to vote on a local referendum on property taxes than would be a renter. From this standpoint, many non-registered citizens are either not aware of the impacts of lawmakers or leaders on their lives, or there are insufficient concerns for them to get involved and to actually vote.

In all candor, I don't care nearly as much about local elections as I do national ones. But I did when I owned a business, here. At that point, I had concerns relative to the health and welfare of my retail store, my employees' job stability, my own administrative load, and my financial exposure due to business costs, taxes, and other such things. When there would arise a local concern about sales tax increases, it mattered to me. When the local city and county governments talked about consolidation that would affect police services, fire services, EMT services, costs of licensure, tax rates, and other issues, it mattered to me. But I no longer own a business, and I don't currently pay property taxes. In short, there are not a lot of local issues that directly affect me greatly, though I try to stay apprised of those issues that might. Nonetheless, because of my lack of vested interests in local issues, I tend not to vote in local elections as consistently as I do national ones.

The same things can be said about some citizens who do not register to vote, and/or don't ever participate in national elections. Perhaps they are unconcerned about whether there is welfare reform, or whether we allow illegal migrant workers to become citizens in some way, or whether taxes for people above the poverty line go up or down. Maybe some of them get lots of help from the government, with community health clinics and with unemployment benefits for six months whenever they might need them. Maybe they even rationalize that, regardless of their concerns, their one little solitary vote won't count in the scheme of things. In each of these cases, there is a lack of sufficient concern about their ability to have an important impact on political happenings to make them educate themselves about candidates or issues. This lack of education, and the associated lack of concern, is (I believe) at the root of voter apathy in this country. But is it really smart, or even okay, for such uninvolved and uneducated people to register and subsequently vote for a candidate based solely upon some unimportant characteristics of the individual candidate, or upon the quasi-authority they personally assign to a preferred commentator or their chosen TV news channel? Voting without a thorough understanding of at least some of the relevant issues, and at least a cursory understanding of the political platform of the candidates, is neither okay nor desirable. Voting for Barack Obama because he's the first viable African American candidate, or for John McCain because he was a POW and he chose a really cute running mate that winks at you through your TV screen is not okay. Voting for the Democratic ticket because Keith Olbermann doesn't like Rush Limbaugh, or for the Republicans because you thought Bill Clinton was an adulterous scoundrel is not okay. Put simply, don't vote if you don't care or if you don't understand the substantive differences between the candidates and/or the issues.

Why be concerned about how many people vote? Primarily, candidates feel that the more people of their party they register to vote, the greater their total number of collective votes will be. Assuming there is no "close call" in a given state, having the majority of votes will gain you the electoral votes you want. Moreover, regardless of winning via electoral majority, if candidates get more than 50% of the popular vote, they feel they have a public "mandate" to push forward their platform promises. So, the way things are, popular vote numbers still matter under the Electoral College system. For pragmatic reasons if not others, politicians don't seem to care about whether their voters are well-involved political students. Nonetheless, this concern about voters being thoughtful and well-informed, if not having a vested interest in political outcomes, is not just unique to me. In fact, it was at the very heart of the development of the Electoral College system. Read on.

The Founding Fathers' Intentions


Whenever a question comes up about the meaning of a loosely constructed or vague Constitutional provision, legal and political scholars often seek the guidance of other historical documents to decipher the intent of our Founding Fathers. What were they thinking? Why did they write it this particular way? One of the most instructive sources of their intent is the body of essays known as the Federalist Papers, written by many of the most preeminent statesmen of the day prior to our Independence. Many would suggest that the Federalist Papers were, in fact, sort of a first draft of the U.S. Constitution. The unique characteristic of these essays is that they are more like a thought diary, or the closest thing we have to a transcript of their debates on important issues that would later become Constitutional provisions.

The genesis of the Electoral College system, and, more specifically, the Founders' intentions with regard to the system of voting for our highest Federal leaders, is clearly illustrated in the Federalist Papers. Specifically, Federalist No. 68, authored largely by Alexander Hamilton, explains why the Founders wanted a group of electors to vote on behalf of the population, rather than counting on the citizens through a tally of their personal votes. Within their language, I find an uncanny similarity to my own personal belief about voters needing to be educated and involved before voting. The following language is from Federalist No. 68, although I have added the italics to sections that are particularly salient:

It was desirable that the sense of the people should operate in the choice of the person to whom so an important trust was to be confided. This end will be answered by committing the right of making it, not to any preestablished body, but to men chosen by the people for the special purpose, and at the particular conjuncture.

 It was equally desirable, that the immediate election should be made by men most capable of analyzing the qualities adapted to the station, and acting under circumstances favorable to deliberation, and to a judicious combination of all the reasons and inducements which were proper to govern their choice. A small number of persons, selected by their fellow citizens from the general mass, will be most likely to possess the information and discernment requisite to such complicated investigations.
See http://federalistpapers.com/federalist68.html for more details.

Clearly, the Founders were concerned that only qualified people actually vote for our highest leaders. Suggesting that a "small number" of people, "most likely to possess the information and discernment requisite to such complicated investigations," clearly reflects their desire that actual voters for president and vice president be uniquely qualified to make these important decisions - the clear implication being that average citizens (the "general mass") were not. While the "general mass" of today is a whole lot better educated generally than were the masses in our Founders' day, the apathetic voter of today is just as dangerous as the unqualified voters were then.

The Founders reckoned that the best way to insure that the actual votes being cast were done by thoughtful and qualified persons was to form what would later be known as the Electoral College, the body of proxies that would vote on behalf of the less-than-qualified average citizens. Nonetheless, they regarded the popular vote as important enough to be taken into account by the electors. And changes to the Constitution as well as state election laws have made the system, while not perfect, more fair today than ever before. It is simply a rarity, as in the 2000 election, that the popular vote majority does not end up choosing the winning presidential ticket.

Other Benefits of the Electoral College

Philosophical considerations aside, there are other important advantages inherent in the Electoral College system. I'll list a couple below, but there are many more. See http://www.uselectionatlas.org/INFORMATION/INFORMATION/electcollege_procon.php for more information.

One additional and important benefit is that the Electoral College eliminates the detrimental effects of disparities between voter turnout in various states. For instance, if November 4th finds the bulk of the country enjoying fair weather, but the New England states buried in eight feet of snow (which therefore prevents large numbers of Northern voters from getting to the polls), the states adversely affected still have their appointed numbers of electoral votes. In other words, even in a case where only 15% of voters can vote, so long as the proportional differences between the numbers of Democratic votes and Republican votes remains relatively constant within, say, Connecticut, that state will still have it's full number of allotted electoral votes. Imagine the detrimental affect, however, if we used a popular vote total, instead. Suddenly, the bad weather in traditionally Democratic Connecticut might unfairly compromise the Democrats nationally, because the solidly Republican central plains states see high voter turnout because their weather is pleasant. Under the Electoral College system, Connecticut still gets their seven electoral votes - even with only 15% voter turnout. Iowa, which may have had 60% voter turnout under good weather conditions, also only gets its seven allotted electoral votes. So the Electoral College manages to even out voter turnout differences while maintaining dependence on the popular vote within each state.

Another benefit of the Electoral College is that it isolates each state from all the others, and, therefore, isolates election problems as well. In other words, because the current system means that every state chooses its own rules and methods for generating the final state electoral tally, it is far easier to identify irregularities in voting infrastructure (think "hanging chad" from election 2000). Recounts necessitated by voting anomalies within a single state are more efficient than a nationwide recount in such a circumstance.

So, in the final analysis, there is nothing inherently wrong with the Electoral College system. Except in the rarest of cases, the power of individual votes still determines how the citizens of each state collectively vote for president and vice president. The advantages of the system are several-fold, but the fact that the College satisfies the Founding Fathers' desire that voters be educated, discerning, and interested persons is of the highest importance.

New Debate Topic! Oh, Yeah...and Dano's Back.

Hello, all. While Dano is not by any means back to his usual,  irascible, but reasonable and capable self, he is re-engaging the blog. Dano's posts may prove less complex than previous ones for a time, but this remains to be seen; it is of no consequence, ultimately, as involving himself in this activity will likely help to speed his recovery and future posts should improve accordingly.

This week's topic is: Should we scrap the Electoral College system for voting for President and Vice President of the United States, in favor of a system that relies strictly on the collective popular vote?

Sunday, September 14, 2008

Todd Twilley: Offshore Drilling? Yes!


[Editorial note from Dano: Folks, this post is by regular commenter, Todd Twilley. As such, we cannot in good conscience hold steadfastly to our own rules regarding "keeping it neutral." Todd's post clearly reflects his ideology, but that's okay...he's just filling in for me this week. I will comment on his and Reed's posts as if Reed and I were debating, here. I encourage the rest of you to withhold judgment on the neutrality issue and comment as normal otherwise. Thanks for the assistance, Todd!]

Anyone who argues that offshore drilling is the magic bullet in energy independence is crazy. They are also crazy if they don't believe alternative energies should be explored. So I'm not going to argue offshore drilling is the be-all and end-all to energy independence. And I'm not going to say we shouldn't encourage businesses to improve alternative energy technology. What I am going to argue is that offshore drilling, actually using our own resources, is essential for our country's economic well-being until alternate technologies advance.

Offshore drilling will not allow for new American oil to be put on the market overnight. Its silly to suggest it can. But just the threat of America drilling and using its own oil resources sends a shiver down the spine of our enemies who control the oil markets. Here's the proof: On Monday July 14, President George W. Bush lifted the ban on offshore drilling and urged Congress to do the same. (see http://www.nola.com/business/index.ssf/2008/07/bush_lifts_ban_on_offshore_dri.html). That week, oil dropped $15 a barrel - a downward trend in oil prices that has continued to this day (see http://www.nola.com/business/index.ssf/2008/07/bush_lifts_ban_on_offshore_dri.html).

Everyone knows OPEC controls the price of oil by how much they allow on the market, much as DeBeers controls the price of diamonds. And just like DeBeers' diamond resources, there's plenty of oil in the ground. This drop in price proves that OPEC is scared to death that we are going to drill for our own oil. Now Iran (who are not our friends, guys) says that OPEC needs to lower production to raise the prices of oil. Iran wants us to suffer economically. Iran has the alibi that the stronger dollar is the reason for the price drop in oil, and while the depleted value of the dollar has certainly contributed to the rise in the price of oil and gas (thank you, financial industry bailouts), it's recent recovery nowhere compares to the spike in oil prices we experienced during that dollar decline.

From OPEC nations to Russia, the countries that are out there who have oil are not our friends. And it's not a Bush foreign policy issue, either. They've never been our friends during the Industrial Age. We must show them we are serious and have a backbone. OPEC has held the power for decades. And now Russia is buying up oil reserves throughout the world. (see http://www.neurope.eu/view_news.php?id=69918).

Even if we don't use it. At least we need to find the oil and drill it. If we must, we can put a cap on the wells offshore and, should we need to show Russia or OPEC a thing or two, just haul an oil platform out to them and start pumping.

An estimated 18 billion barrels of offshore oil is now banned. Under the joke of a plan for "opening" offshore drilling proposed by the Democrat-controlled Congress, 90 percent of that would still be off limits. Democrats are not using logic here. But they are selfishly trying to win votes from their paranoid supporters. That's because its hard to defend the evidence above and say that offshore drilling won't have an impact on oil prices. Just talking about it has had an effect. Its a lot easier to use scare tactics and propaganda to argue against offshore drilling. Here are the arguments, in short, against offshore drilling and why they are faulty:

  1. Storms such as Hurricane Ike shut down offshore rigs, divert tankers, and shut down refineries. What happened in Tallahassee wasn't a result of Hurricane Ike directly. It was more directly a result of the Tallahassee Democrat, group think and mass hysteria. It's unlikely anything short of a concentrated terrorist attack that takes out all our refineries would cause any true gas shortage.Oil rigs can be restaffed and operational usually within a couple of days after a storm event. It takes about the same two days to reroute tankers. Oil refining is the first industry behind hospitals and government to get working in a devastated coastal city.
  2. Another argument is alternative energies. The legitimate alternative energies are susceptible to natural disasters, too. What happens when a tornado wipes out a windmill farm in the Midwest or a solar farm has an uncharacteristically low streak of mostly cloudy days? What happens when those dependent on hydro power experience a drought? And what happens when a nuclear power plant is targeted by terrorists?

Speaking of alternative energies, the ones mentioned above are the only true alternative sources. Our leaders in Washington want to divert our attention with hopes of Ethanol or hydrogen powered cars or even plug-in vehicles. Energy is energy folks. Hydrogen and Ethanol take too much energy to make them a worthwhile option. Technology may improve on the hydrogen end. But use of Ethanol is simply a special interest ploy to get Midwest farmer votes. The end effect of Ethanol we've seen in an increase in almost all types of food products. It's about the corn, which is the basis for all meat and dairy (it's what the cows and chickens eat). But those farmers who have raised feed are turning to Ethanol, not because its more profitable in the free market, but because the government is subsidizing Ethanol.

The problem with alternative energies such as nuclear power plants are that the same people who oppose offshore drilling have so burdened those who might invest in nuclear power plants with heavy regulation that it makes investment in this clean energy nigh impossible. The problem with wind and solar is that our technology is just not there yet to harvest enough energy. It's getting better all the time, but it needs to get a lot better before wind and solar are viable options. We'll be using oil primarily for the next 30 years until these technologies can advance far enough, I predict. Even if it's sooner, we'll still need the oil for plastic.

Then there is the environmental aspect. As far as oil spills, human error in transport causes oil spills, not offshore drilling. We're going to import oil from somewhere. There's a less chance of a transport disaster by transporting it a few hundred miles off our shores than from thousands of miles away.

But what about the oil when it is actually burned? Global warming. That's a whole other debate. But man-made global warming is about as real as the Tallahassee gas shortage. Or I should say it was as real as the Tallahassee gas shortage before everyone in the city went nuts. I just hope we burn enough oil to ensure we avoid the coming ice age. See these two links for proof on that: http://www.usatoday.com/weather/news/2008-09-09-farmers-almanac_N.htm

Reed: Drilling to Economic Salvation? It Just Won't Work.

Imagine this scenario if you can. It's a Friday afternoon in Tallahassee, and six hundred miles away a town is bracing for a dangerous hurricane. You've decided to take off work early because, after all, it's Friday, and there's a football game tomorrow. You need to get home and get ready for the big weekend, but first you have to stop for gas. You reach one station, and the line at the pumps is reaching back into the road. You ease by that one, only to be greeted by a repeat of the same at the next station. Two miles up the road, a clerk is changing the price on the sign from $3.79 to $5.49 per gallon. The last station between work and home has strung yellow police tape around its pumps - no gas.

Actually, you don't have to imagine it. It's exactly what happened Friday, September 12, 2008. And it is a telling reminder that, in spite of what self-serving politicians and oil company executives may be preaching, America cannot drill her way to energy independence.

Hurricane Ike was a telling reminder that Tallahassee, and indeed our entire nation, is, as President Bush said in his 2006 State of the Union message, "addicted to oil." The President went on to say that the addiction could only be broken by pledging to invest in alternative fuel sources and reducing oil imports by 70% by the year 2025.

President Bush was right then. He is wrong today when he suggests, as does Senator John McCain and other politicos on both sides of the aisle, that we must boost production through more drilling for oil at home.

According to Randy Bly, spokesperson for AAA Auto Club South, Tallahassee could see gas prices at $6.00 a gallon and spotty availability later this month, if Ike-related damage to refineries in Houston were severe. "We're in for a bumpy ride, quite frankly, over the next couple of weeks," Bly told Nic Corbett of the Tallahassee Democrat (Sunday, September 14.)

And that, my friends, is the number one issue. Let's for a moment ignore the environmental impact that offshore drilling, and drilling in sensitive areas such as the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge, might produce. Let's set aside the notion that our "addiction to oil" is fueling a climate crisis of unimaginable consequences. Let's even skip over the recent revelation that employees of the agency in charge of collecting the money for the oil leases owned by the United States government were engaged in a "sex, drugs and light sweet crude" debauchery with representatives of the very industry they are supposed to be regulating.

Let's instead concentrate on the means through which we turn the oil we purchase on the world market into the gasoline we so desperately demand - refining. According to news reports, one Houston refinery that shut down in anticipation of Ike refines almost one in every four gallons of gasoline sold in the United States. Think about it - in less than a week, our ability to produce gasoline was reduced by almost 25%.

Why? Because we are refining all the oil we can possibly refine right now. Currently America has 151 operating oil refineries, at least twenty-five in Texas alone, and each one has been operating at peak or near-peak capacity. Regardless of the fact that it would take many years to produce a single additional barrel of oil if restrictions on drilling were lifted today, increasing our domestic output simply means we would be sitting on that surplus oil for months - because we don't have the ability to refine it. Thus, gas prices, the raison d'etre for the "drill here, drill now, pay less" crowd, cannot and will not be affected by increasing crude supplies from domestic sources.

And the refining capability of our nation is not likely to change, in the short or long-term. An issue of "Alexander's Gas and Oil Connection", an industry publication, said in July of 2001 that the U.S. "appears to have built its last refinery" (volume 6, issue #13, July 17 2001). The article noted that no new refinery had been constructed in the U.S. since the mid-seventies, and "petroleum industry experts say anyone would be crazy to launch such an effort." Several reasons were given for this outlook:
  • Refineries are not particularly profitable.
  • Environmentalists fight the process from beginning to end.
  • Government red tape makes the process all but impossible.
Let's just skip over the last two and concentrate on reason number one - "not particularly profitable." We must remember that all the oil produced today in the United States doesn't just appear in American refineries and wind up in American's tanks. Because the oil is "owned" by the oil companies, it goes on the world market and is snapped up by the highest bidder. Our refineries are not profitable because they are simply seen as a "cost of doing business" by the oil companies. This will not change until and unless America nationalizes its oil reserves.

And this will not happen. Capitalism, or consumerism as we practice in America, relies not on nations but on markets. And today's market does not reflect a short supply of available crude oil. OPEC's recent decision to reduce output by over 500,000 barrels a day (see www.sltrib.com/business) to maintain the price of oil at or above $100.00 per barrel indicates that countries such as Iran, Venezuela, and Saudi Arabia can easily dictate the price of oil regardless of supply surpluses or deficits.

If America were to allow more lands such as ANWR to be open to more drilling, best case scenarios say we could be pumping oil in five to ten years, according to the Spero Forum, a pro-drilling publication (http://www.speroforum.com/). OPEC at that point would merely reduce output further, thus continuing to control prices in spite of our efforts to control supply.

So it is clear - America cannot drill her way to energy independence, because America is but one of many players on the world market. China and India will be a much larger force as their demand grows. So, as President Bush said, we must defeat our "addiction to oil" by increasing our use of biofuels, harnessing solar and wind power to heat and cool our homes and light our streets, and allow American ingenuity to trump the power of the oil companies and their political cronies to control our destiny. This will take dedication, perseverance, money and hard work. But I believe we are up to the challenge.

We must be. The future of our nation and, indeed, our planet, demands no less.

Friday, September 12, 2008

Guest Debater

Hello, folks, and thank you for your continued patience as we await Dano's return to full-time debating. We're happy to report that he's doing well and continues to improve daily. Thank you for your concern and good wishes.

In the meantime, our friend and frequent contributor J.T. (Todd) Twilley has graciously agreed to "stand in" for Dano while he hones his cognitive skills a little more, and we flipped a coin yesterday. Todd and I will debate the pressing issue of whether or not the U.S. should begin opening up more oil leases, offshore and in other areas, for drilling. Based on the toss of the coin, Todd will take the "pro" side of this debate and I will argue against. Our posts should be up by Monday or so, ready for your comments.

As always, we will look forward to what you have to say, and may we all learn something in the process.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

History has been made

On the home front, I'm happy to say that Dano is home, and while he's going to take a while to recuperate, I anticipate it will be easier for him in his own room than in a hospital bed. On behalf of his family, I thank you for all the prayers and good wishes, and I ask you to continue to keep them in your thoughts.
I don't have to tell you that history was made tonight, as the first African-American nominee of a major party for President of the United States accepted the nomination. I paid close attention to the entire convention, and will do the same next week as Republicans gather in the Twin Cities. And I am convinced that this election may be the most important in a generation. So I urge all of you to search your hearts, determine what's important, and above all else, vote.
I am a believer in the notion that God does not care who we elect as President, but does care that we, as a nation and as individuals, act toward other nations and each other in just the manner that we would have them act toward us. This requires us to be patient and understanding, but unrelenting in those ideals that are inspired by our founders and our faith. Between now and November 4, let us demand of our leaders and our candidates that they take the high road, avoid personal attacks and tell us the truth. If they will do that, we will make the right decision.
I know it's asking a lot. But America and the world deserve no less.
God bless America.

Thursday, August 21, 2008

The New Topic Is Dano

This week, folks, we'll be postponing our coin flip while Dano recovers from a shot in the head. My partner is currently at Tallahassee Memorial Hospital, and I think I speak for all of us when I say our thoughts and prayers are with him, his wife and daughters.
In the meantime, I'm wondering what you all think about the issue of offshore drilling - I think that will be our next coin toss debate, so if you'd like to log in, we'll be happy to hear what you have to say. We won't comment on your posts until both Dano and I have logged in with our arguments, based on the coin toss - remember, it doesn't matter what we believe personally.
In fact (no pun intended), the only thing that matters is the truth. Your truth and mine may be different, but my truth is this - I am confident that Dano is one of the funniest, most decent and most intelligent people I've ever known, and his presence in my life and God's world is a positive thing. So I'll be praying for him.
Thank you for doing the same.
Agape',
Reed

Monday, August 18, 2008

Reed: Flat Tax? A Wonderful, Unworkable Concept


If I were to say to you, "It doesn't matter how much money or how little money you make, or how much or how little you spend, we're all going to pay the same tax rate," your first reaction would be, "Well, makes sense to me."

That was certainly my reaction when Steve Forbes proposed a flat tax system during his Presidential campaign in 1996. While I gave the publishing magnate a less than 17 percent chance of actually winning the Republican nomination, I paid close attention to his point, well-received on both sides of the aisle, that our tax system was inherently unfair, unwieldy and complicated, and reform was necessary.

But my research then, and my belief now, is that the "flat tax" proposal Steve Forbes proposed, and most if not all such proposals prior and subsequent to Forbes', are incapable of meeting the revenue needs of the government of the United States while still preserving our institutions and protecting our citizens.

Forbes was certainly not the first to point out the flaws of America's system of collecting the funds necessary to run our government. From the founding of America to today, leaders and citizens have debated the pros and cons of taxation as a means to "establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty for ourselves and our posterity".

But no one denies that these principles, espoused in the preamble to our Constitution, are necessary to uphold, with our labor, our honor and our dollars.

So as our society has evolved over 232 years, so has our system of taxation, and no longer is it possible to say, "Okay, you earned $5000.00 this year, give Uncle Sam $500.00 and he'll protect you." What we earn, what we save, what we spend is all relative to factors that make a flat-tax system unworkable.

A simple but telling example of the fallacy of flat taxation rests in pure geography. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the state with the lowest household income is Mississippi, at $34,500.00. (see: www.census.gov/hhes). I'm confident this does not come as a surprise. What is surprising is that the state with the largest household income, based on the same census data, is New Jersey (can you say "Tony Soprano?"), at $60,000.00. But the most telling statistic rests in the corresponding Consumer Price Index for each state. In Mississippi, the CPI is 169.7, while in New Jersey, it is slightly higher at 181.8. One would assume that living in New Jersey would be much more expensive than living in Mississippi. But Mississippi families pay .5% more of their income just to survive than do residents of New Jersey.

This would seem to indicate that our current tax system is "regressive", that is, skewed toward the wealthier citizens. Many in the upper middle class and beyond would argue the opposite. But most data indicate that almost any system of taxation is "regressive", based on definition and practical application.

The value-added tax, or VAT, has been offered up by some economists as a "flat tax" which could replace the income tax as the government's main source of revenue. The VAT is a sales tax which is applied to a product at all levels of its "life-span", from production to consumption (www.investorglossary.com/value-added-tax.html). The website indicated gives an example of a tree, which is taxed at the point it is cut down, taxed again at the mill, again at the manufacturer who turns it into a table, again at the trucking company who transports the table to the retailer, and again at point of sale. Obviously, the bulk of the tax is then paid by the ultimate consumer, because all the entities, from lumberjack to truck driver, will pass their costs on to the buyer.

The VAT is a regressive tax because the wealthy, with their income now non-taxable, can continue discretionary spending for such things as a new table, and still afford to invest and spend at will. The middle class family is left to determine if a heavily-taxed item is a necessity, or a luxury.

Another potential problem with the VAT also applies to the flat sales tax proposal put forth by organizations such as FairTax.org. A 30% sales tax as proposed would cause many products to be manufactured and sold on the "black market", through cross-border or Internet transactions. Tax evasion would become the norm for major purchases, especially in households where income was below the median. But the wealthy would certainly not miss an opportunity to take advantage of these shady offerings, and the U.S. Treasury would be unable to maintain the revenue stream necessary to meet the government's Constitutional obligations as a result.

The Hall-Rabushka flat tax proposal of the early 1980's, proposed by two fellows of the Hoover Institution, was a variation of the VAT that would apply to businesses and individuals. It made adjustments for the inherent "regressive" nature of the tax by taking into consideration a company's or individual's income, material costs, pension contributions, etc. In other words, it weighed itself down in much the same way as has our current, convoluted tax system.

William G. Gale, a Brookings Institution fellow and proponent of the flat tax, pointed out that "many of the gains (attained through the flat tax) are also available through judicious reform of the income tax, in particular by making the taxation of capital more uniform." Reform, then, according to Gale, could solve many of the problems of the current tax code.

One of the most recent proponents of the flat tax has been Daniel J. Mitchell of the Cato Institute. In Cato's July/August 2007 Policy Report, Mitchell argued the merits of the flat tax by pointing to the various countries and protectorates that have adopted such a method of financing their government programs. Estonia, Latvia, Serbia, Slovakia, Mongolia, Kyrgyzstan, Macedonia and Montenegro are among the 19 economic "powerhouses" that have found merit in such a system. Would we trade our system for theirs?

Alas, it takes great political will to achieve even small, incremental change in such a vast wasteland as is represented by America's tax system. And until Congress can muster such will, or until we elect a President willing to take on the special interests that most benefit from the convoluted nature of our current code, then modest reform is all we can hope for.